What will mortgage interest rates do tomorrow? Mortgage professionals are voting in our daily poll. April housing starts data came in positively. They were at 1.135M instead of the forecasted 1.029M. Also, new permits came in at 1.143M vs the expected 1.070M. These two strong pieces of economic data caused bonds to sell off this morning. Equally as important is last night's commentary from the ECB board member Benoit Coeure. He said the ECB might front-load bond purchases because this summer is expected to bring lower amounts of trading liquidity. In response, mortgages rates have slightly increased before tomorrow's FOMC minutes.
Check back Wednesday for FOMC minutes; Thursday for initial jobless claims, existing home sales for April, the Philly Fed Business Index for May, and the 10 year TIPS auction; Friday for core CPI index for April and core CPI mm for April.
Monday: This Monday is looking better for MBS than last Monday. The markets are still weak, but there is less pressure from German bunds this time. Expect mortgage rates to stay the same ahead of this Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
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